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 <front>
  <journal-meta>
   <journal-id journal-id-type="publisher-id">afjournal</journal-id>
   <journal-title-group>
    <journal-title xml:lang="ru">Анализ и прогноз. Журнал ИМЭМО РАН</journal-title>
    <trans-title-group xml:lang="en">
     <trans-title>Analysis &amp; Forecasting. Journal of IMEMO</trans-title>
    </trans-title-group>
   </journal-title-group>
   <issn pub-type="epub">2713-170X</issn>
   <publisher>
    <publisher-name xml:lang="ru">ИМЭМО РАН</publisher-name>
   </publisher>
  </journal-meta>
  <article-meta>
   <article-id pub-id-type="doi">10.20542/afij-2021-1-99-107</article-id>
   <article-categories>
    <subj-group subj-group-type="heading">
     <subject>Research Article</subject>
    </subj-group>
    <subj-group subj-group-type="section-heading" xml:lang="ru">
     <subject>Статьи</subject>
    </subj-group>
   </article-categories>
   <title-group>
    <article-title xml:lang="ru">Индийский взгляд на территориальный спор в рукаве дельты Инда Сэр-Крик в контексте отношений с Пакистаном</article-title>
    <trans-title-group xml:lang="en">
     <trans-title>Indian Stance on the Territorial Dispute over Sir Creek in the Context of India-Pakistan Relations</trans-title>
    </trans-title-group>
   </title-group>
   <aff-alternatives id="aff-1">
    <aff xml:lang="ru">
     <institution>Макаревич Глеб Григорьевич, старший лаборант-исследователь группы Южной Азии и региона Индийского океана Центра Азиатско-тихоокеанских исследований. Национальный исследовательский институт мировой экономики и международных отношений им. Е.М. Примакова РАН, РФ, 117997 Москва, Профсоюзная, 23, ( gmakarevich@ imemo. ru ) , ORCID: 0000-0001-8037-0973</institution>
    </aff>
    <aff id="aff-1-en-1" xml:lang="en">
     <institution>Primakov National Research Institute of World Economy and International Relations, Russian Academy of Sciences (IMEMO), 23, Profsoyuznaya Str., Moscow, 117997, Russian Federation</institution>
    </aff>
   </aff-alternatives>
   <contrib-group>
    <contrib contrib-type="author" id="author-1" corresp="yes">
     <contrib-id contrib-id-type="orcid">https://orcid.org/0000-0001-8037-0973</contrib-id>
     <name-alternatives>
      <name name-style="eastern" xml:lang="ru">
       <surname>Макаревич</surname>
       <given-names>Глеб Григорьевич</given-names>
      </name>
      <name name-style="western" xml:lang="en">
       <surname>Makarevich</surname>
       <given-names>Gleb</given-names>
      </name>
     </name-alternatives>
     <bio xml:lang="ru">
      <p>Образование: бакалавриат и магистратура факультета международных отношений МГИМО МИД России по специальности «Зарубежное регионоведение».
Сфера научных интересов: роль военных элит Пакистана во внутренней и внешней политике страны, стратегическая культура Пакистана.
Знание иностранных языков: английский, хинди, урду.
Профиль автора в Science Index

Профиль автора в Scopus</p>
     </bio>
     <bio xml:lang="en">
      <p>Education: Bachelor and Master degree at MGIMO University, Faculty of International Relations, Area Studies.
Fields of study: Pakistan’s military elites in domestic politics and foreign affairs, strategic culture of Pakistan.
Command of languages: English, Hindi, Urdu.
Author`s Profile in Science Index

Author`s Profile in Scopus</p>
     </bio>
     <email>gmakarevich@imemo.ru</email>
     <xref ref-type="aff" rid="aff-1"></xref>
     <xref ref-type="aff" rid="aff-1-en-1"></xref>
    </contrib>
   </contrib-group>
   <pub-date pub-type="epub">
    <day>21</day>
    <month>05</month>
    <year>2021</year>
   </pub-date>
   <issue>1</issue>
   <permissions>
    <copyright-statement xml:lang="ru">© Макаревич Г.Г., 2021
Статья поступила в редакцию 21.02.2021.</copyright-statement>
    <copyright-statement xml:lang="en">© Gleb G. MAKAREVICH, 2021
Received 21.02.2021.</copyright-statement>
    <copyright-year>2021</copyright-year>
    <copyright-holder xml:lang="ru">Макаревич Г.Г.</copyright-holder>
    <copyright-holder xml:lang="en">Makarevich G.</copyright-holder>
   </permissions>
   <self-uri xlink:href="https://www.afjournal.ru/2021/1/global-and-regional-challenges/indian-stance-on-the-territorial-dispute-over-sir-creek-in-the-context-of-india-pakistan-relations">https://www.afjournal.ru/2021/1/global-and-regional-challenges/indian-stance-on-the-territorial-dispute-over-sir-creek-in-the-context-of-india-pakistan-relations</self-uri>
   <abstract>
    <p>В статье рассматривается территориальный спор Индии и Пакистана вокруг рукава дельты Инда Сэр-Крик, имеющего большое значение для экономики и безопасности региона Южной Азии. Проанализированы исторические и правовые аспекты проблемы, экономическая значимость района, его важность с точки зрения обороны и безопасности. Автор делает вывод, что конфликт не разрешится в краткосрочной и среднесрочной перспективе, каждая сторона продолжит настаивать на приоритетности нормативных правовых актов, подтверждающих именно ее позицию, а ситуация в регионе приобретет еще большую остроту.</p>
   </abstract>
   <trans-abstract xml:lang="en">
    <p>The author analyses in depth the long-lasting territorial dispute between India and Pakistan over Sir Creek situated in the Indus Delta and the neighboring area. This area is of great importance for the economy and security of the two nations. The article encompasses an overview of the historic background of the dispute and highlights both Indian and Pakistani positions during the negotiation process. The author looks at the legal aspects of the territorial dispute, including an overview of international rules relevant to regulating the dispute. The paper highlights the economic significance of the area from different perspectives including the importance of fishing for local populations as well as energy security, crucial for such emerging economies as India and Pakistan. The significance of the area in terms of defense and security, especially in the context of combating terrorism is also considered. The author argues that the territorial dispute is not likely to be resolved in the short or medium term. Both India and Pakistan will continue to refer to the international rules that are consistent with their stances in the dispute, and the situation in the region is likely to become more and more explosive. The author uses historical methods to compare the positions of India and Pakistan over time and to scrutinize the role of the territorial dispute in the Indo-Pakistani relation, analyses and interprets official statements concerning the territorial dispute and applies statistical methods to assess the economic potential of the disputed area.</p>
   </trans-abstract>
   <kwd-group xml:lang="ru">
    <kwd>Сэр-Крик</kwd>
    <kwd>Индия</kwd>
    <kwd>Пакистан</kwd>
    <kwd>территориальный спор</kwd>
    <kwd>переговорный процесс</kwd>
    <kwd>рыбный промысел</kwd>
    <kwd>энергетика</kwd>
    <kwd>безопасность</kwd>
   </kwd-group>
   <kwd-group xml:lang="en">
    <kwd>Sir Creek</kwd>
    <kwd>India</kwd>
    <kwd>Pakistan</kwd>
    <kwd>territorial dispute</kwd>
    <kwd>negotiation process</kwd>
    <kwd>fishing</kwd>
    <kwd>energy</kwd>
    <kwd>security</kwd>
   </kwd-group>
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  <fn-group>
   <fn fn-type="conflict">
    <p>The authors declare that there are no conflicts of interest present.</p>
   </fn>
  </fn-group>
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</article>
