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 <front>
  <journal-meta>
   <journal-id journal-id-type="publisher-id">afjournal</journal-id>
   <journal-title-group>
    <journal-title xml:lang="ru">Анализ и прогноз. Журнал ИМЭМО РАН</journal-title>
    <trans-title-group xml:lang="en">
     <trans-title>Analysis &amp; Forecasting. Journal of IMEMO</trans-title>
    </trans-title-group>
   </journal-title-group>
   <issn pub-type="epub">2713-170X</issn>
   <publisher>
    <publisher-name xml:lang="ru">ИМЭМО РАН</publisher-name>
   </publisher>
  </journal-meta>
  <article-meta>
   <article-id pub-id-type="doi">10.20542/afij-2021-1-84-98</article-id>
   <article-categories>
    <subj-group subj-group-type="heading">
     <subject>Research Article</subject>
    </subj-group>
    <subj-group subj-group-type="section-heading" xml:lang="ru">
     <subject>Статьи</subject>
    </subj-group>
   </article-categories>
   <title-group>
    <article-title xml:lang="ru">Перспективы и проблемы использования морских частных военных компаний “нового облика” в Восточной Африке</article-title>
    <trans-title-group xml:lang="en">
     <trans-title>Prospects and Problems of the Use of New Order PMSC in East Africa</trans-title>
    </trans-title-group>
   </title-group>
   <aff-alternatives id="aff-1">
    <aff xml:lang="ru">
     <institution>КУПРИЯНОВ Алексей Владимирович, кандидат исторических наук, старший научный сотрудник, руководитель группы Южной Азии и региона Индийского океана Центра Азиатско-Тихоокеанских исследований.
Национальный исследовательский институт мировой экономики и международных отношений им. Е.М. Примакова РАН, РФ, 117997 Москва, Профсоюзная, 23 ( a.kupriyanov@imemo.ru ), ORCID: 0000-0002-9041-6514
КРАМНИК Илья Александрович, младший научный сотрудник группы исследований политики США и Канады в мировом океане Центра североамериканских исследований.
Национальный исследовательский институт мировой экономики и международных отношений им. Е.М. Примакова РАН, РФ, 117997 Москва, Профсоюзная, 23 ( ikramnik@imemo.ru ), ORCID : 0000-0003-1716-6261</institution>
    </aff>
    <aff id="aff-1-en-1" xml:lang="en">
     <institution>Primakov National Research Institute of World Economy and International Relations, Russian Academy of Sciences (IMEMO), 23, Profsoyuznaya Str., Moscow, 117997, Russian Federation</institution>
    </aff>
    <aff id="aff-2-en-1" xml:lang="en">
     <institution>Primakov National Research Institute of World Economy and International Relations, Russian Academy of Sciences (IMEMO), 23, Profsoyuznaya Str., Moscow, 117997, Russian Federation</institution>
    </aff>
   </aff-alternatives>
   <contrib-group>
    <contrib contrib-type="author" id="author-1" corresp="yes">
     <contrib-id contrib-id-type="orcid">https://orcid.org/0000-0002-9041-6514</contrib-id>
     <name-alternatives>
      <name name-style="eastern" xml:lang="ru">
       <surname>Куприянов</surname>
       <given-names>Алексей Владимирович</given-names>
      </name>
      <name name-style="western" xml:lang="en">
       <surname>Kupriyanov</surname>
       <given-names>Alexey</given-names>
      </name>
     </name-alternatives>
     <bio xml:lang="ru">
      <p>Образование: исторический факультет МГПУ и магистратура Дипломатической академии МИД России по специальности &quot;международные отношения&quot;.
Работал журналистом-международником.
Автор более 30 научных работ, опубликованных в отечественных и зарубежных журналах.
Сфера интересов: история, внешняя и внутренняя политика, экономика и культура стран Южной Азии и региона Индийского океана, история и теория международных отношений.
Иностранные языки: английский, хинди.</p>
     </bio>
     <bio xml:lang="en">
      <p>Dr Kupriyanov studied the Anglo-Saxon History at the Department of History of the Moscow City Teacher Training University and English language and literature in Ireland. He has a master’s degree in IR after graduating from the Diplomatic Academy of the Ministry of Foreign Affairs of Russia. Dr Kupriyanov worked as a foreign affairs journalist on TV and in various newspapers.
Research interests: history and modernity of the countries of South, Southeast and East Asia, Indian external policy, Indo-Pacific region, Indo-Chinese relations, IR theory.
Languages : English, Hindi.</p>
     </bio>
     <email>a.kupriyanov@imemo.ru</email>
     <xref ref-type="aff" rid="aff-1"></xref>
     <xref ref-type="aff" rid="aff-1-en-1"></xref>
    </contrib>
    <contrib contrib-type="author" id="author-2">
     <contrib-id contrib-id-type="orcid">https://orcid.org/0000-0003-1716-6261</contrib-id>
     <name-alternatives>
      <name name-style="eastern" xml:lang="ru">
       <surname>Крамник</surname>
       <given-names>Илья Александрович</given-names>
      </name>
      <name name-style="western" xml:lang="en">
       <surname>Kramnik</surname>
       <given-names>Ilya</given-names>
      </name>
     </name-alternatives>
     <bio xml:lang="ru">
      <p>Образование:
2001 г. – Московский государственный университет имени М.В. Ломоносова, юридический факультет.
Сфера научных интересов:
ВМС стран мира, локальные конфликты, военно-техническое сотрудничество, военная и военно-морская история нового и новейшего времени.

Профиль автора в Science Index</p>
     </bio>
     <email>ikramnik@imemo.ru</email>
     <xref ref-type="aff" rid="aff-1"></xref>
     <xref ref-type="aff" rid="aff-2-en-1"></xref>
    </contrib>
   </contrib-group>
   <pub-date pub-type="epub">
    <day>21</day>
    <month>05</month>
    <year>2021</year>
   </pub-date>
   <issue>1</issue>
   <fpage>84</fpage>
   <lpage>98</lpage>
   <permissions>
    <copyright-statement xml:lang="ru">© Куприянов А.В., Крамник И.А., 2021
Статья поступила в редакцию 01.12.2020.</copyright-statement>
    <copyright-statement xml:lang="en">© Alexey V. KUPRIYANOV, Ilya A. KRAMNIK, 2021
Received 01.12.2020.</copyright-statement>
    <copyright-year>2021</copyright-year>
    <copyright-holder xml:lang="ru">Куприянов А.В., Крамник И.А.</copyright-holder>
    <copyright-holder xml:lang="en">Kupriyanov A., Kramnik I.</copyright-holder>
   </permissions>
   <self-uri xlink:href="https://www.afjournal.ru/2021/1/global-and-regional-challenges/prospects-and-problems-of-the-use-of-new-order-pmsc-in-east-africa">https://www.afjournal.ru/2021/1/global-and-regional-challenges/prospects-and-problems-of-the-use-of-new-order-pmsc-in-east-africa</self-uri>
   <abstract>
    <p>В последние десятилетия в мире наблюдается процесс постепенного роста так называемых нетрадиционных угроз безопасности: контрабанды товаров, торговли людьми, незаконного оборота оружия и наркотиков, пиратства. В условиях противостояния между США и КНР неизбежно расширение существующих “серых зон”, одна из которых находится у побережья Восточной Африки. На основе анализа ситуации, сложившейся в регионе, авторы приходят к выводу, что восточноафриканские страны испытывают потребность в поставщике безопасности, который помог бы им справиться с нетрадиционными угрозами. Это дает возможность России нарастить влияние в регионе при помощи морских частных военных компаний “нового облика”.</p>
   </abstract>
   <trans-abstract xml:lang="en">
    <p>In recent decades, some researchers and experts have written a lot about the fact that the monopoly of nation-states on external violence is gradually disappearing, and non-state entities are becoming more and more proactive, challenging the state. Among these actors are criminal groups, underground trade networks, smugglers, slave traders, drug traffickers, gun runners, terrorist groups, pirates. All of them pose so-called non-traditional threats and challenges to states. In the context of the new Cold War, their activities are intensifying. This article is devoted to the analysis of the situation in the coastal waters of East Africa, one of the so-called gray zones, where non-state shadow actors are especially active. The authors investigate the capabilities of the East African states to withstand non-traditional maritime challenges and threats and come to the conclusion that these states are unable to cope on their own. The great powers, on the other hand, are focused on confronting each other and have no capacity to divert forces for operations to maintain order in distant regions. The authors believe that in these conditions, Russia is faced with new opportunities: it can create and send to the region private maritime security companies of a new type, New Order PMSC, which will be financed through a contract with the client state and at the same time will help to strengthen Russia's influence. Unlike ordinary PMSCs, they are not interested in dragging out the conflict, their goal is to eliminate hotbeds of danger and prepare the coast guard forces of client states to deal with potential threats. The activities of these companies will be equally beneficial to the states of East Africa and Russia. The authors propose an approximate composition of such PMSCs, outline the goals and objectives they face, and make certain that with the help of relatively low costs, Russia can improve the effectiveness of its policy in the region.</p>
   </trans-abstract>
   <kwd-group xml:lang="ru">
    <kwd>Индийский океан</kwd>
    <kwd>Восточная Африка</kwd>
    <kwd>частные военные компании</kwd>
    <kwd>нетрадиционные угрозы безопасности</kwd>
    <kwd>морской флот</kwd>
   </kwd-group>
   <kwd-group xml:lang="en">
    <kwd>Indian Ocean</kwd>
    <kwd>Africa</kwd>
    <kwd>PMSC</kwd>
    <kwd>non-traditional challenges</kwd>
    <kwd>Navy</kwd>
   </kwd-group>
   <custom-meta-group>
    <custom-meta>
     <meta-name>UDK</meta-name>
     <meta-value>327→341(6-11)</meta-value>
    </custom-meta>
   </custom-meta-group>
  </article-meta>
 </front>
 <back>
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  <fn-group>
   <fn fn-type="conflict">
    <p>The authors declare that there are no conflicts of interest present.</p>
   </fn>
  </fn-group>
 </back>
</article>
