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 <front>
  <journal-meta>
   <journal-id journal-id-type="publisher-id">afjournal</journal-id>
   <journal-title-group>
    <journal-title xml:lang="ru">Анализ и прогноз. Журнал ИМЭМО РАН</journal-title>
    <trans-title-group xml:lang="en">
     <trans-title>Analysis &amp; Forecasting. Journal of IMEMO</trans-title>
    </trans-title-group>
   </journal-title-group>
   <issn pub-type="epub">2713-170X</issn>
   <publisher>
    <publisher-name xml:lang="ru">ИМЭМО РАН</publisher-name>
   </publisher>
  </journal-meta>
  <article-meta>
   <article-id pub-id-type="doi">10.20542/afij-2020-4-27-39</article-id>
   <article-categories>
    <subj-group subj-group-type="heading">
     <subject>Research Article</subject>
    </subj-group>
    <subj-group subj-group-type="section-heading" xml:lang="ru">
     <subject>Статьи</subject>
    </subj-group>
   </article-categories>
   <title-group>
    <article-title xml:lang="ru">Современные проблемы “большой стратегии” во внешней политике США</article-title>
    <trans-title-group xml:lang="en">
     <trans-title>Contemporary Problems of a “Grand Strategy” in the US Foreign Policy</trans-title>
    </trans-title-group>
   </title-group>
   <aff-alternatives id="aff-1">
    <aff xml:lang="ru">
     <institution>КИСЛИЦЫН Сергей Владимирович, кандидат политических наук, старший научный сотрудник сектора внешней и внутренней политики США Центра североамериканских исследований. Национальный исследовательский институт мировой экономики и международных отношений им. Е.М. Примакова РАН, РФ, 117997 Москва, Профсоюзная, 23 ( skislitsyn@imemo.ru ), ORCID: 0000-0002-8438-7964 .</institution>
    </aff>
    <aff id="aff-1-en-1" xml:lang="en">
     <institution>Primakov National Research Institute of World Economy and International Relations, Russian Academy of Sciences (IMEMO), 23, Profsoyuznaya Str., Moscow, 117997, Russian Federation</institution>
    </aff>
   </aff-alternatives>
   <contrib-group>
    <contrib contrib-type="author" id="author-1" corresp="yes">
     <contrib-id contrib-id-type="orcid">https://orcid.org/0000-0002-8438-7964</contrib-id>
     <name-alternatives>
      <name name-style="eastern" xml:lang="ru">
       <surname>Кислицын</surname>
       <given-names>Сергей Владимирович</given-names>
      </name>
      <name name-style="western" xml:lang="en">
       <surname>Kislitsyn</surname>
       <given-names>Sergey</given-names>
      </name>
     </name-alternatives>
     <bio xml:lang="ru">
      <p>2015 – 2020 гг. научный сотрудник Центра североамериканских исследований ИМЭМО РАН
С 2021 г. – руководитель Центра изучения стратегического планирования ИМЭМО РАН
2023 – 2025 гг. и.о. директора Института США и Канады им. Г.А. Арбатова Российский академии наук (ИСКРАН)
Образование:
В 2013 г. закончил Исторический факультет МГУ им. М.В. Ломоносова, Кафедра новой и новейшей истории .
В 2019 г. защитил диссертацию на соискание ученой степени кандидата политических наук (5.5.4. – Международные отношения по политическим наукам), ИМЭМО РАН
Сфера научных интересов :

протекционизм и торговая политика США;
промышленная политика;
трансатлантические отношения;
стратегическое и индикативное планирование;
прогнозирование международных процессов.

.

ResearcherID
Профиль автора в Scopus
Профиль автора в Science Index</p>
     </bio>
     <bio xml:lang="en">
      <p>Skills and career:
2015-2020 – researcher at the Center for North American Studies, IMEMO
2023-2025 – Acting Director of the Arbatov U.S. and Canada Institute, Russian Academy of Sciences (ISKRAN)
Since 2021 – Head of the Center for Strategic Planning Studies, IMEMO
Education:
2013 – graduate from the History Department of Lomonosov Moscow State University
2019, – PhD in political sciences, IMEMO
Area of research interests:

• Protectionism and US trade policy
• Industrial policy
• Transatlantic relations
• Strategic and indicative planning
• Forecasting of international processes


ResearcherID
Author`s profile in Scopus</p>
     </bio>
     <email>skislitsyn@imemo.ru</email>
     <xref ref-type="aff" rid="aff-1"></xref>
     <xref ref-type="aff" rid="aff-1-en-1"></xref>
    </contrib>
   </contrib-group>
   <pub-date pub-type="epub">
    <day>24</day>
    <month>01</month>
    <year>2021</year>
   </pub-date>
   <issue>4</issue>
   <fpage>27</fpage>
   <lpage>39</lpage>
   <permissions>
    <copyright-statement xml:lang="ru">© Кислицын С.В., 2020
Статья поступила в редакцию 26.10.2020</copyright-statement>
    <copyright-statement xml:lang="en">© Sergey V. KISLITSYN, 2020
Received 26.10.2020</copyright-statement>
    <copyright-year>2021</copyright-year>
    <copyright-holder xml:lang="ru">Кислицын С.В.</copyright-holder>
    <copyright-holder xml:lang="en">Kislitsyn S.</copyright-holder>
   </permissions>
   <self-uri xlink:href="https://www.afjournal.ru/2020/4/development-trends-and-risks/contemporary-problems-of-a-grand-strategy-in-the-us-foreign-policy">https://www.afjournal.ru/2020/4/development-trends-and-risks/contemporary-problems-of-a-grand-strategy-in-the-us-foreign-policy</self-uri>
   <abstract>
    <p>В статье рассматриваются основные проблемы формирования “большой стратегии” для внешней политики США на современном этапе. Внимание уделяется концептуальному пониманию данного термина, некоторым особенностям его исторического развития и современному состоянию. Анализируются позиции американских внешнеполитических элит и экспертно-аналитического сообщества относительно проблемы самопозиционирования США во внешнем мире.</p>
   </abstract>
   <trans-abstract xml:lang="en">
    <p>The research examines the main problems of a grand strategy in the US foreign policy. Attention is paid to the conceptual understanding of this term, its historical development, and the current state. The article analyzes the positions of American foreign policy elites and the expert community regarding the problem of the US self-positioning in the outside world.
The article consists of three parts. The first analyses the main conceptual provisions of the “grand strategy” as a term. It describes its development from a military term, reflecting the general tactics in interstate confrontation to its comprehensive understanding as a coordination principle of long-term and medium-term goals with short term actions.
The second part of the article focuses on the American foreign policy elites, their approaches, as well as public opinion on this issue. It is noted that the ideology of global leadership has become an important component of the establishment's thinking. It largely impedes the development of new foreign policy concepts and, as a result, reformatting the grand strategy.
The third part is devoted to the positions of the expert community on the issue of grand strategy. Four main versions are considered: &quot;Offensive&quot;, &quot;Selective engagement&quot;, &quot;Offshore Balancing&quot;, &quot;Zero-sum&quot;.
The author comes to a conclusion that the US foreign policy mixes several types of strategies at the moment. It is noted that as China strengthens, the United States faces a new competition, which, unlike the Soviet threat, implies not military-political, but economic confrontation. The implementation of the scenario of a &quot;new Cold War&quot; between Washington and Beijing can define the new goals of the grand strategy. At the same time, this also creates an ideological dilemma of recognizing a new challenge, an increasing alternative for American global leadership - the idea of which is still popular among representatives of American foreign policy elites.</p>
   </trans-abstract>
   <kwd-group xml:lang="ru">
    <kwd>внешняя политика США</kwd>
    <kwd>американские внешнеполитические элиты</kwd>
    <kwd>“большая стратегия”</kwd>
    <kwd>экспертно-аналитическое сообщество</kwd>
   </kwd-group>
   <kwd-group xml:lang="en">
    <kwd>US foreign policy</kwd>
    <kwd>American foreign policy elites</kwd>
    <kwd>grand strategy</kwd>
    <kwd>expert and analytical community</kwd>
   </kwd-group>
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    <custom-meta>
     <meta-name>UDK</meta-name>
     <meta-value>327(73)</meta-value>
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  </article-meta>
 </front>
 <back>
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  <fn-group>
   <fn fn-type="conflict">
    <p>The authors declare that there are no conflicts of interest present.</p>
   </fn>
  </fn-group>
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</article>
