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 <front>
  <journal-meta>
   <journal-id journal-id-type="publisher-id">afjournal</journal-id>
   <journal-title-group>
    <journal-title xml:lang="ru">Анализ и прогноз. Журнал ИМЭМО РАН</journal-title>
    <trans-title-group xml:lang="en">
     <trans-title>Analysis &amp; Forecasting. Journal of IMEMO</trans-title>
    </trans-title-group>
   </journal-title-group>
   <issn pub-type="epub">2713-170X</issn>
   <publisher>
    <publisher-name xml:lang="ru">ИМЭМО РАН</publisher-name>
   </publisher>
  </journal-meta>
  <article-meta>
   <article-id pub-id-type="doi">10.20542/afij-2020-1-12-22</article-id>
   <article-categories>
    <subj-group subj-group-type="heading">
     <subject>Research Article</subject>
    </subj-group>
    <subj-group subj-group-type="section-heading" xml:lang="ru">
     <subject>Статьи</subject>
    </subj-group>
   </article-categories>
   <title-group>
    <article-title xml:lang="ru">Американоцентризм и многополярность в глобальной экономике (торгово-политический и финансовый аспекты)</article-title>
    <trans-title-group xml:lang="en">
     <trans-title>Americanocentrism and Multipolarity in the Global Economy (Trade Policy and Financial Aspects)</trans-title>
    </trans-title-group>
   </title-group>
   <aff-alternatives id="aff-1">
    <aff xml:lang="ru">
     <institution>КОРОЛЕВ Иван Сергеевич, член-корреспондент РАН, доктор экономических наук, профессор, главный научный сотрудник Центра прогнозных исследований. Национальный исследовательский институт мировой экономики и международных отношений им. Е.М. Примакова РАН, РФ, 117997 Москва, Профсоюзная, 23 ( korolev@imemo.ru ), ORCID: 0000-0001-9007-692X.</institution>
    </aff>
   </aff-alternatives>
   <contrib-group>
    <contrib contrib-type="author" id="author-1" corresp="yes">
     <contrib-id contrib-id-type="orcid">https://orcid.org/0000-0001-9007-692X</contrib-id>
     <name-alternatives>
      <name name-style="eastern" xml:lang="ru">
       <surname>Королев</surname>
       <given-names>Иван Сергеевич</given-names>
      </name>
      <name name-style="western" xml:lang="en">
       <surname>Korolev</surname>
       <given-names>Ivan</given-names>
      </name>
     </name-alternatives>
     <bio xml:lang="ru">
      <p>БИОГРАФИЧЕСКАЯ СПРАВКА

Кандидат экономических наук (1972г.), доктор экономических наук (1988 г.), профессор (1989 г.), член-корреспондент РАН (1994 г.).

Март 2013 – н/время – советник РАН
1991 г. – март 2013 г. – заместитель директора ИМЭМО РАН.
1994-2000 гг. – зав. кафедрой международных валютно-кредитных отношений МГИМО.
1992-1993 гг. – член Коллегии Министерства внешнеэкономических связей РФ.
1991 г. (апрель) – советник Совета Безопасности СССР.
1986-апрель 1991 г. - заместитель директора ИМЭМО.
1978-1986 гг. – зав. сектором валютных проблем Института мировой экономики и международных отношений АН СССР.
1975-1978 гг. – старший научный сотрудник Института мировой экономики и международных отношений АН СССР.
1969-1975 гг. – в Научно-исследовательском конъюнктурном институте МВТ СССР.
1965-1969 гг. – работал в Отделе цен Валютного управления Министерства внешней торговли СССР.
1965 г. – окончил Московский государственный институт международных отношений МИД СССР.
СФЕРА НАУЧНЫХ ИНТЕРЕСОВ – специалист в области мировой экономики и международных экономических отношений. В круг его научных интересов входит исследование закономерностей функционирования мирохозяйственного механизма, проблемы интеграции России в мировое хозяйство, регулирования внешнеэкономических связей России. Автор многих научных работ, опубликованных в России (СССР) и за рубежом, участвовал в ряде крупных международных проектов.

Председатель Диссертационного совета в ИМЭМО. Член редколлегии журнала «МЭиМО», член Редсовета журнала «Пространственная экономика ДВО РАН и журнала «Вестник» ФБУ Государственная регистрационная палата при Минюсте РФ. Член научного совета Центра интеграционных исследований Евразийского Банка Развития (ЕАБР), член Научно-экспертного (Учёного) Совета Института энергетики и финансов, член Учёного совета Центра ситуационного анализа РАН.

Профиль автора в Science Index
Профиль автора в Scopus</p>
     </bio>
     <bio xml:lang="en">
      <p>CURRICULUM VITAE

Ph.D. in Economics (1972), Doctor (Economics) (1988), Professor (1989), Corresponding Member of RAS (1994)

March 2013 Councillor of RAS
1991-March 2013 Deputy Director of IMEMO RAN
1994-2000 Head and Chair of the Department for International Monetary Relations at MGIMO
1992-1993 Member of the Board of the Russian Ministry of Foreign Economic Relations
1991 (April) Advisor to the Security Council of the USSR
1986-April 1991 Deputy Director of IMEMO RAN
1978-1986 Head of the Section for Currency Problems of the Institute of World Economy and International Relations, USSR Academy of Sciences
1975-1978 Senior Researcher, Institute of World Economy and International Relations, USSR Academy of Sciences
1969-1975 Scientific Market Research Institute at the Ministry for Foreign Trade, USSR
1965-1969 Department of Monetary Prices at the Ministry of Foreign Trade, USSR
1965 Graduate of the Moscow State Institute of International Relations, MFA USSR

Areas of Expertise:
Extensive expertise in global economy and international economic relations. The range research interests include the study of the functioning world economic mechanism, the problem of integrating Russia into the global economy, regulation of foreign economic relations of Russia. Author of many scientific papers published in Russia (USSR) and abroad, participated in several major international projects.
Chairman of the Dissertation Council at IMEMO RAS. A member of the editorial board of “MEiMO”; a member of the editorial board of the journal “Spatial Economics,” Far East Branch of RAS, and the Bulletin of the State Registration Chamber with the Russian Ministry of Justice. Member of the Scientific Council of the Center for Integration Research of the Eurasian Development Bank (EDB), a member of the Scientific Expert (Academic) Council of the Institute for Energy and Finance, a member of the Academic Council of the Center for Situational Analysis of RAS.</p>
     </bio>
     <email>korolev@imemo.ru</email>
     <xref ref-type="aff" rid="aff-1"></xref>
    </contrib>
   </contrib-group>
   <pub-date pub-type="epub">
    <day>14</day>
    <month>07</month>
    <year>2020</year>
   </pub-date>
   <issue>1</issue>
   <fpage>12</fpage>
   <lpage>22</lpage>
   <permissions>
    <copyright-statement xml:lang="ru">© Королев И.С., 2020
Статья поступила в редакцию 12.03.2020.</copyright-statement>
    <copyright-statement xml:lang="en">© Ivan S. KОROLEV., 2020
Received 12.03.2020.</copyright-statement>
    <copyright-year>2020</copyright-year>
    <copyright-holder xml:lang="ru">Королев И.С.</copyright-holder>
    <copyright-holder xml:lang="en">Korolev I.</copyright-holder>
   </permissions>
   <self-uri xlink:href="https://www.afjournal.ru/2020/1/development-trends-and-risks/americanocentrism-and-multipolarity-in-the-global-economy-trade-policy-and-financial-aspects">https://www.afjournal.ru/2020/1/development-trends-and-risks/americanocentrism-and-multipolarity-in-the-global-economy-trade-policy-and-financial-aspects</self-uri>
   <abstract>
    <p>Проанализированы основные предпосылки и последствия сохранения единоличного лидерства США в мировой экономике. Показано, что движение в сторону многополярности не ослабляет американоцентризма. Наоборот, дробление центров экономической силы за пределами США расширяет возможности внешнеэкономической политики американской администрации. Рассмотрены противоречия и перспективы экономических отношений в треугольнике США–ЕС–Китай, роль новых быстро развивающихся экономик.</p>
   </abstract>
   <trans-abstract xml:lang="en">
    <p>More global multipolarity has not diminished up to now the US influence in the world economy. On the contrary American possibilities for maneuvering have increased. For example this can be observed in the case of the trade negotiations and exterritorial sanctions policy. Turbulences in international trade during last years are partially the result of objective factors such as increasing global competition, the appearance of new important actors at world markets, malfunctions of multilateral trade system. But the situation was seriously aggravated by the US disturbing unilateral actions in economic relations with main trade partners including Canada, Mexico, China and the European Union. The reasons for these actions were both economic and geopolitical. Especially it is seen in the case of US-China trade dispute in which the main goal for the US seems to be hampering China’s economic development. The US foreign economic policy may have long-term negative effects in particular increasing probability of substitution the WTO rules by bilateral and regional agreements. This would be equal to a sort of the global market fragmentation.
Strengthening global multilateral trade system fully responds to the interests of Russia. As well as more commercial motivation of Russia’s economic relations with all countries including Eurasian Economic Union. There is no sense in confronting the US on economic issues at the expense of losses for Russian companies and for the economy on the whole. Even without our interference Americanocentrism in the global economy will inevitably be decreasing.</p>
   </trans-abstract>
   <kwd-group xml:lang="ru">
    <kwd>глобальная экономика</kwd>
    <kwd>взаимозависимость</kwd>
    <kwd>международная конкурентоспособность</kwd>
    <kwd>санкции</kwd>
    <kwd>роль доллара</kwd>
    <kwd>G2</kwd>
    <kwd>Брекзит</kwd>
    <kwd>многостороннее регулирование торговли</kwd>
    <kwd>прогнозные исследования</kwd>
   </kwd-group>
   <kwd-group xml:lang="en">
    <kwd>global economy</kwd>
    <kwd>interdependence</kwd>
    <kwd>international competitiveness</kwd>
    <kwd>sanctions</kwd>
    <kwd>role of the US dollar</kwd>
    <kwd>G-2</kwd>
    <kwd>Brexit</kwd>
    <kwd>multilateral trade system</kwd>
    <kwd>forecasting studies</kwd>
   </kwd-group>
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    <custom-meta>
     <meta-name>UDK</meta-name>
     <meta-value>339.9+338.27:(73)+(510)+(4)</meta-value>
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  </article-meta>
 </front>
 <back>
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  <fn-group>
   <fn fn-type="conflict">
    <p>The authors declare that there are no conflicts of interest present.</p>
   </fn>
  </fn-group>
 </back>
</article>
