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 <front>
  <journal-meta>
   <journal-id journal-id-type="publisher-id">afjournal</journal-id>
   <journal-title-group>
    <journal-title xml:lang="ru">Анализ и прогноз. Журнал ИМЭМО РАН</journal-title>
    <trans-title-group xml:lang="en">
     <trans-title>Analysis &amp; Forecasting. Journal of IMEMO</trans-title>
    </trans-title-group>
   </journal-title-group>
   <issn pub-type="epub">2713-170X</issn>
   <publisher>
    <publisher-name xml:lang="ru">ИМЭМО РАН</publisher-name>
   </publisher>
  </journal-meta>
  <article-meta>
   <article-id pub-id-type="doi">10.20542/afij-2020-1-63-73</article-id>
   <article-categories>
    <subj-group subj-group-type="heading">
     <subject>Research Article</subject>
    </subj-group>
    <subj-group subj-group-type="section-heading" xml:lang="ru">
     <subject>Статьи</subject>
    </subj-group>
   </article-categories>
   <title-group>
    <article-title xml:lang="ru">Политические риски в условиях глобальных вызовов традиционным системам госуправления</article-title>
    <trans-title-group xml:lang="en">
     <trans-title>Political Risks in the Era of Global Challenges to Traditional Governance Structures</trans-title>
    </trans-title-group>
   </title-group>
   <aff-alternatives id="aff-1">
    <aff xml:lang="ru">
     <institution>БОРДОВСКИХ Анастасия Николаевна, кандидат политических наук, старший научный сотрудник Кафедры политического анализа.
Московский государственный университет имени М.В. Ломоносова, факультет государственного управления, РФ, 119991 Москва, Ломоносовский просп., д. 27, к. 4 ( bordovskikh @ spa . msu . ru ), ORCID : 0000-0003-4290-4983 .</institution>
    </aff>
   </aff-alternatives>
   <contrib-group>
    <contrib contrib-type="author" id="author-1" corresp="yes">
     <contrib-id contrib-id-type="orcid">https://orcid.org/0000-0003-4290-4983</contrib-id>
     <name-alternatives>
      <name name-style="eastern" xml:lang="ru">
       <surname>Бордовских</surname>
       <given-names>Анастасия Николаевна</given-names>
      </name>
      <name name-style="western" xml:lang="en">
       <surname>Bordovskikh</surname>
       <given-names>Anastasia</given-names>
      </name>
     </name-alternatives>
     <xref ref-type="aff" rid="aff-1"></xref>
    </contrib>
   </contrib-group>
   <pub-date pub-type="epub">
    <day>14</day>
    <month>07</month>
    <year>2020</year>
   </pub-date>
   <issue>1</issue>
   <fpage>63</fpage>
   <lpage>73</lpage>
   <permissions>
    <copyright-statement xml:lang="ru">© Бордовских А.Н., 2020
Статья поступила в редакцию 22.01.2020.</copyright-statement>
    <copyright-statement xml:lang="en">© Anastasia N. BORDOVSKIKH, 2020
Received 22.01.2020.</copyright-statement>
    <copyright-year>2020</copyright-year>
    <copyright-holder xml:lang="ru">Бордовских А.Н.</copyright-holder>
    <copyright-holder xml:lang="en">Bordovskikh A.</copyright-holder>
   </permissions>
   <self-uri xlink:href="https://www.afjournal.ru/2020/1/development-trends-and-risks/political-risks-in-the-era-of-global-challenges-to-traditional-governance-structures">https://www.afjournal.ru/2020/1/development-trends-and-risks/political-risks-in-the-era-of-global-challenges-to-traditional-governance-structures</self-uri>
   <abstract>
    <p>В свете общепризнанного роста политических рисков в сфере международного бизнеса в статье поднимается вопрос о соответствии классических теорий исследования политических рисков реальному содержанию феномена. Рассматриваются новые формы политических рисков сквозь призму трансформации характера политического взаимодействия, в котором происходит их формирование, и изменения целевой мотивации политических акторов на фоне усиления глобальных угроз. Определены ключевые характеристики новых форм политических рисков – сетевые глобальные алгоритмы развития, актуальная география, особый пространственно-временной формат распространения. Раскрыто содержание гибридных экополитического и информационно-политического рисков.</p>
   </abstract>
   <trans-abstract xml:lang="en">
    <p>After many years of general disregard political risks are back as a major threat to international business. Though the phenomena are not new, today’s political risks are rather different from those studied in the aftermaths of the Second World War. Hence the classical framework of political risk analysis needs substantial reconsideration. The complexity of the present geopolitical context together with the interconnectivity characterizing our modern world impact the very logic and motivation lying beneath political actions which in turn may result in a negative side-effect to international trade and investment. The present research brings focus on two grounds for political risks transformation. The first is lying in the field of the new basis of the government action. The network concepts replacing traditional hierarchy of political actors, the wider access to political action and weakening of the nation state foundations result in the change of the very nature of political risks, their institutional origins and their geographical coverage. The other explanation for the new forms of political threat emergence is the switch in the political agenda. While in the 1960s–1970s political risks came as a consequence of various nationalist ideologies in the developing world, its recent manifestations are strongly connected with the new objectives of the modern state and society. Climate change, technological threats, word economic slowdown and other top global risks lead to drastic government and extra-government actions which incorporate a great potential for the development of political risks. The research unveils the algorithms of politically motivated business losses in the context of the global challenges our states are facing today. It resumes in a list of the main characteristics upon which they can be defined as „new political risks”, distinguished from the traditional forms and, thus, in need of the updated analytical approach.</p>
   </trans-abstract>
   <kwd-group xml:lang="ru">
    <kwd>политический риск</kwd>
    <kwd>глобальный риск</kwd>
    <kwd>экспроприация</kwd>
    <kwd>информационно-политический риск</kwd>
    <kwd>экополитический риск</kwd>
    <kwd>экологический кризис</kwd>
   </kwd-group>
   <kwd-group xml:lang="en">
    <kwd>political risk</kwd>
    <kwd>global risk</kwd>
    <kwd>expropriation</kwd>
    <kwd>info-political risk</kwd>
    <kwd>eco-political risk</kwd>
    <kwd>ecological crisis</kwd>
   </kwd-group>
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 <back>
  <ref-list>
   <title>References</title>
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  <fn-group>
   <fn fn-type="conflict">
    <p>The authors declare that there are no conflicts of interest present.</p>
   </fn>
  </fn-group>
 </back>
</article>
