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 <front>
  <journal-meta>
   <journal-id journal-id-type="publisher-id">afjournal</journal-id>
   <journal-title-group>
    <journal-title xml:lang="ru">Анализ и прогноз. Журнал ИМЭМО РАН</journal-title>
    <trans-title-group xml:lang="en">
     <trans-title>Analysis &amp; Forecasting. Journal of IMEMO</trans-title>
    </trans-title-group>
   </journal-title-group>
   <issn pub-type="epub">2713-170X</issn>
   <publisher>
    <publisher-name xml:lang="ru">ИМЭМО РАН</publisher-name>
   </publisher>
  </journal-meta>
  <article-meta>
   <article-id pub-id-type="doi">10.20542/afij-2019-1-45-58</article-id>
   <article-categories>
    <subj-group subj-group-type="heading">
     <subject>Research Article</subject>
    </subj-group>
    <subj-group subj-group-type="section-heading" xml:lang="ru">
     <subject>Статьи</subject>
    </subj-group>
   </article-categories>
   <title-group>
    <article-title xml:lang="ru">Евроатлантическая политика ФРГ: преемственность и обновление</article-title>
    <trans-title-group xml:lang="en">
     <trans-title>Germany's Euro-Atlantic policy: Continuity and renewal</trans-title>
    </trans-title-group>
   </title-group>
   <aff-alternatives id="aff-1">
    <aff xml:lang="ru">
     <institution>КОКЕЕВ Александр Михайлович, кандидат исторических наук, ведущий научный сотрудник сектора политических проблем европейской интеграции Отдела европейских политических исследований.
Национальный исследовательский институт мировой экономики и международных отношений им. Е.М. Примакова РАН, РФ, 117997 Москва, Профсоюзная, 23 ( alkokeev@gmail.com ).

Статья выполнена в рамках проекта РФФИ № 18-011-00464 “Меняющаяся роль Германии в евроинтеграционных и трансатлантических процессах. Вызовы для России”.</institution>
    </aff>
   </aff-alternatives>
   <contrib-group>
    <contrib contrib-type="author" id="author-1" corresp="yes">
     <contrib-id contrib-id-type="orcid">https://orcid.org/0000-0003-1825-9291</contrib-id>
     <name-alternatives>
      <name name-style="eastern" xml:lang="ru">
       <surname>Кокеев</surname>
       <given-names>Александр Михайлович</given-names>
      </name>
      <name name-style="western" xml:lang="en">
       <surname>Kokeev</surname>
       <given-names>Alexander</given-names>
      </name>
     </name-alternatives>
     <bio xml:lang="ru">
      <p>Образование:
Исторический факультет МГПИ им. Ленина (Исторический факультет)
Тема кандидатской диссертации: «Международно-политические проблемы в западногерманских исследованиях мира»

Сфера научных интересов:

внешняя политика и политика безопасности ФРГ
европеизм и атлантизм в политике ФРГ
политические системы и партии современной Германии

Иностранные языки: немецкий, английский

Научные доклады:
Итоги земельных выборов и поствыборная ситуация в ФРГ
Новые акценты в евроатлантической политике Германии

Профиль автора в Science Index
Профиль автора в Scopus</p>
     </bio>
     <bio xml:lang="en">
      <p>Education:
Graduated from the Faculty of History of the Moscow State Pedagogical Institute named after Lenin (Department of History)
1976 – PhD in History at IMEMO. D. thesis: &quot;International Political Problems in West German Peace Studies&quot;

Fields of scientific interests:

Foreign and security policy of the Federal Republic of Germany
Europeanism and Atlanticism in German politics
Political systems and parties in modern Germany

Foreign languages: German, English</p>
     </bio>
     <email>alexander.kokeev@yandex.ru</email>
     <xref ref-type="aff" rid="aff-1"></xref>
    </contrib>
   </contrib-group>
   <pub-date pub-type="epub">
    <day>01</day>
    <month>07</month>
    <year>2019</year>
   </pub-date>
   <issue>1</issue>
   <fpage>45</fpage>
   <lpage>58</lpage>
   <permissions>
    <copyright-statement xml:lang="ru">© 2019 г. А. Кокеев
Статья поступила в редакцию 17.07.2019.</copyright-statement>
    <copyright-statement xml:lang="en">© 2019 A. Kokeev
Received 17.07.2019.</copyright-statement>
    <copyright-year>2019</copyright-year>
    <copyright-holder xml:lang="ru">Кокеев А.М.</copyright-holder>
    <copyright-holder xml:lang="en">Kokeev A.</copyright-holder>
   </permissions>
   <self-uri xlink:href="https://www.afjournal.ru/2019/1/world-politics/germanys-euro-atlantic-policy">https://www.afjournal.ru/2019/1/world-politics/germanys-euro-atlantic-policy</self-uri>
   <abstract>
    <p>Изменения в международно-политической обстановке и усилившееся соперничество великих держав оказывают серьезное воздействие на Германию и ее партнеров по Европейскому союзу. В статье рассмотрены новые акценты и изменения в трансатлантической и европейской политике Берлина. Раскрыты новые тенденции во взаимоотношениях ФРГ с США и НАТО, проанализированы проблемы ее взаимодействия с Францией. Центральное место отведено вопросам обеспечения безопасности усилиям по углублению военно-политической интеграции в ЕС.</p>
   </abstract>
   <trans-abstract xml:lang="en">
    <p>The article examines important changes in Germany’s relations with the United States and NATO; identifies new trends in Berlin’s transatlantic policy and strategy and analyses the country’s actions aimed at deepening European integration and increasing the EU's independence in ensuring its own security. German-American relations under D. Trump are experiencing a profound and protracted crisis. Therefore, the emphasis in the defense strategy and security policy of the Federal Republic of Germany began to change. On the one hand, Germany has stepped up its participation in NATO’s military activities. On the other hand, a long-standing non-partisan consensus maintained in Berlin implies that in a crisis situation primarily political and diplomatic means are appropriate and that military measures are a last resort. Close coordination with the allies is essential. In connection with the unilateral US withdrawal from a number of international agreements important for Germany, Berlin’s concern over the unpredictability and inconsistency of the US actions with their European allies is growing. As a result Berlin has adopted a “balanced partnership” strategy towards the United States. Creation of a more independent Europe and a European Union of Security and Defense has become the German policy primary goal.
Despite many controversies, France remains the most important pillar of the German politics’ European vector. The central point of the new Franco-German treaty of January 22, 2019 is an obligation to move towards a convergence of the two countries’ security strategies. PESCO program became the first notable result of such policy. The program is aimed at intensifying the European countries military-industrial cooperation. Berlin sees the program as a long-term possibility to enhance the European influence in the transatlantic alliance and increase Germany’s own responsibility in the defense sphere. In connection with the well-known US and NATO requirements, the question of increasing the Federal Republic of Germany defense budget has acquired particular urgency. Basing on growing international tensions and aggravation of NATO's relations with Russia, Berlin has substantially increased its military spending. But despite this, in the foreseeable future, Germany will remain far from fulfilling the requirement to reach the 2% GDP defense spending target by 2024 (the planned figure is less than 1.5%). Nevertheless no responsible politician in Germany would claim that even in the medium term Germany together with its EU partners will be able to ensure European security without close cooperation with the United States and NATO. At the same time, there are a lot of indications that important aspects of Berlin’s transatlantic policy are undergoing serious and largely irreversible changes. They are connected not only with the “Trump factor” and the Ukrainian crisis, but also with deeper shifts, including the growing influence and “challenge” of China.

About author:
Alexander M. KOKEEV, Cand. Sci. (Hist.), Leading Researcher, Sector of Political Aspects of European Integration, Department of European Political Studies .</p>
   </trans-abstract>
   <kwd-group xml:lang="ru">
    <kwd>Германия</kwd>
    <kwd>германо-американские отношения</kwd>
    <kwd>НАТО</kwd>
    <kwd>трансатлантическая и европейская политика ФРГ</kwd>
    <kwd>Европейский союз</kwd>
    <kwd>политика безопасности</kwd>
    <kwd>германо-французское взаимодействие</kwd>
    <kwd>программа PESCO</kwd>
    <kwd>расходы на оборону</kwd>
   </kwd-group>
   <kwd-group xml:lang="en">
    <kwd>Germany</kwd>
    <kwd>German-American relations</kwd>
    <kwd>NATO</kwd>
    <kwd>transatlantic and European policy of the Federal Republic of Germany</kwd>
    <kwd>European Union</kwd>
    <kwd>security policy</kwd>
    <kwd>German-French cooperation</kwd>
    <kwd>PESCO</kwd>
    <kwd>defense spending</kwd>
   </kwd-group>
   <custom-meta-group>
    <custom-meta>
     <meta-name>UDK</meta-name>
     <meta-value>(430): 327+327.7+327.51+341.1</meta-value>
    </custom-meta>
   </custom-meta-group>
  </article-meta>
 </front>
 <back>
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  <fn-group>
   <fn fn-type="conflict">
    <p>The authors declare that there are no conflicts of interest present.</p>
   </fn>
  </fn-group>
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</article>
