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 <front>
  <journal-meta>
   <journal-id journal-id-type="publisher-id">afjournal</journal-id>
   <journal-title-group>
    <journal-title xml:lang="ru">Анализ и прогноз. Журнал ИМЭМО РАН</journal-title>
    <trans-title-group xml:lang="en">
     <trans-title>Analysis &amp; Forecasting. Journal of IMEMO</trans-title>
    </trans-title-group>
   </journal-title-group>
   <issn pub-type="epub">2713-170X</issn>
   <publisher>
    <publisher-name xml:lang="ru">ИМЭМО РАН</publisher-name>
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  </journal-meta>
  <article-meta>
   <article-id pub-id-type="doi">10.20542/afij-2026-1-97-110</article-id>
   <article-id custom-type="edn" pub-id-type="custom">XXOBJX</article-id>
   <article-categories>
    <subj-group subj-group-type="heading">
     <subject>Research Article</subject>
    </subj-group>
    <subj-group subj-group-type="section-heading" xml:lang="ru">
     <subject>Статьи</subject>
    </subj-group>
   </article-categories>
   <title-group>
    <article-title xml:lang="ru">«Арктическая исключительность» и «новая нормальность»: тенденции развития международных отношений в Арктике после 2022 г.</article-title>
    <trans-title-group xml:lang="en">
     <trans-title>«Arctic Exceptionalism» and «New Normal»: Trends in the Development of International Relations in the Arctic After 2022</trans-title>
    </trans-title-group>
   </title-group>
   <aff-alternatives id="aff-1">
    <aff xml:lang="ru">
     <institution>СТРЕЛЬНИКОВА Ирина Александровна, кандидат юридических наук, доцент, директор Центра междисциплинарных исследований Арктики, доцент департамента зарубежного регионоведения факультета мировой экономики и мировой политики. Национальный исследовательский университет “Высшая школа экономики”, РФ, 119017 Москва, ул. Малая Ордынка, 17; старший научный сотрудник Центра “Россия, Китай, мир”.
Институт Китая и современной Азии РАН, Москва 117997, Нахимовский пр-т, 32 ( istrelnikova @hse.ru ), ORCID : 0000-0001-9097-0753
АГАФОНОВ Даниил Иванович, аналитик Центра междисциплинарных исследований Арктики факультета мировой экономики и мировой политики.
Национальный исследовательский университет “Высшая школа экономики”, РФ, 119017 Москва, ул. Малая Ордынка, 17;
аспирант факультета международных отношений.
Санкт-Петербургский государственный университет, РФ, 191060 Санкт-Петербург, ул. Смольного, д. 1/3, подъезд 8 ( diagafonov @ edu . hse . ru ), ORCID : 0009-0007-1576-3296</institution>
    </aff>
    <aff id="aff-1-en-1" xml:lang="en">
     <institution>National Research University ‘Higher School of Economics’, 17, Malaya Ordynka Str., Moscow 119017, Russian Federation; Institute of China and Contemporary Asia of the Russian Academy of Sciences, Nakhimovsky pr-t, 32, Moscow 117997, Russian Federation</institution>
    </aff>
    <aff id="aff-2-en-1" xml:lang="en">
     <institution>National Research University ‘Higher School of Economics’, 17, Malaya Ordynka Str., Moscow 119017, Russian Federation; St. Petersburg State University, 1/3, 8 entrance, Smolny Str., St. Petersburg 191060, Russian Federation</institution>
    </aff>
   </aff-alternatives>
   <contrib-group>
    <contrib contrib-type="author" id="author-1" corresp="yes">
     <contrib-id contrib-id-type="orcid">https://orcid.org/0000-0001-9097-0753</contrib-id>
     <name-alternatives>
      <name name-style="eastern" xml:lang="ru">
       <surname>Стрельникова</surname>
       <given-names>И. А.</given-names>
      </name>
     </name-alternatives>
     <xref ref-type="aff" rid="aff-1"></xref>
     <xref ref-type="aff" rid="aff-1-en-1"></xref>
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    <contrib contrib-type="author" id="author-2">
     <contrib-id contrib-id-type="orcid">https://orcid.org/0009-0007-1576-3296</contrib-id>
     <name-alternatives>
      <name name-style="eastern" xml:lang="ru">
       <surname>Агафонов</surname>
       <given-names>Даниил Иванович</given-names>
      </name>
     </name-alternatives>
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     <xref ref-type="aff" rid="aff-2-en-1"></xref>
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   </contrib-group>
   <pub-date pub-type="epub">
    <day>14</day>
    <month>06</month>
    <year>2026</year>
   </pub-date>
   <issue>1</issue>
   <fpage>97</fpage>
   <lpage>110</lpage>
   <permissions>
    <copyright-statement xml:lang="ru">© СТРЕЛЬНИКОВА И.А., АГАФОНОВ Д.И., 2026
Поступила в редакцию 18.02.2025.
После доработки 16.06.2025.
Принята к публикации 23.07.2025.</copyright-statement>
    <copyright-statement xml:lang="en">© Irina A. STRELNIKOVA, Daniil I. AGAFONOV, 2026
Received 18.02.2025.
Revised 16.06.2025.
Accepted 23.07.2025.</copyright-statement>
    <copyright-year>2026</copyright-year>
    <copyright-holder xml:lang="ru">Стрельникова И.А., Агафонов Д.И.</copyright-holder>
    <license xml:lang="ru" license-type="creative-commons-attribution" xlink:href="https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/" xlink:type="simple">
     <license-p>Данная работа распространяется под лицензией Creative Commons Attribution 4.0.</license-p>
    </license>
    <license xml:lang="en" license-type="creative-commons-attribution" xlink:href="https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/" xlink:type="simple">
     <license-p>This work is licensed under a Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 License.</license-p>
    </license>
   </permissions>
   <self-uri xlink:href="https://www.afjournal.ru/2026/1/1global-and-regional-security/arctic-exceptionalism-and-new-normal-trends-in-the-development-of-international-relations-in-the-arctic-after-2022">https://www.afjournal.ru/2026/1/1global-and-regional-security/arctic-exceptionalism-and-new-normal-trends-in-the-development-of-international-relations-in-the-arctic-after-2022</self-uri>
   <abstract>
    <p>Арктический регион, занимавший особое положение в дискурсе международно-политической науки на протяжении более чем 10 лет, поэтапно приобретал различные и зачастую диаметрально противоположные образы на страницах зарубежных и русскоязычных исследований. Долгое время основой исключительно мирного и конструктивного взаимодействия арктических держав в этой части света служило успешное функционирование главного регионального форума – Арктического совета, призванного содействовать международному сотрудничеству, решению общих проблем и поддержанию стабильности в регионе. По окончании первого десятилетия XXI в. ставшие привычными попытки теоретизации Арктики как исключительного региона международных отношений все чаще подвергались сомнению. Консенсуса относительно роли и состояния как самого форума, так и региональных отношений после 2022 г. не сложилось ни среди исследователей, ни среди официальных представителей арктических государств. Эта ситуация порождает дискуссии, попытки переосмысления происходящих в Арктике процессов. В контексте кризиса, угрожающего стабильности Арктического региона, особую важность приобретает не только анализ трансформации существующих режимов международного сотрудничества, но также четкое понимание процессов, происходящих в регионе и выходящих за рамки традиционного нарратива о его “исключительности”. Основной целью данной статьи является определение сути этих процессов и прогноз их последствий для международных отношений в северном приполярье. Для этого в работе были, во-первых, проанализированы и типологизированы в зависимости от используемой теоретической парадигмы исследовательские труды, посвященные концептуализации Арктики как пространства международных отношений; во-вторых, сопоставлена с реалиями региональной политики концепция “новой нормальности”; в-третьих, определены основные тенденции в развитии международных отношений в Арктике после 2022 г.</p>
   </abstract>
   <trans-abstract xml:lang="en">
    <p>The Arctic region, which held a special position in the discourse of international political science for more than ten years, has gradually acquired various and often diametrically opposed images on the pages of studies both in English and in Russian. For a long time, the basis for the exclusively peaceful and constructive coexistence of the Arctic powers in the region was the successful functioning of the central regional forum – the Arctic Council – designed to promote international cooperation, resolve common problems and maintain stability in the region. With the end of the 2000s, established attempts to theorize the Arctic as an exceptional region of international relations were under scrutiny. There is no generally accepted consensus regarding the role and state of both the forum itself and regional relations after 2022, either among researchers or among official representatives of the Arctic states. This situation opens up space for discussions and attempts to rethink the processes taking place in the Arctic. In the context of the unprecedented crisis taking place in the Arctic region, it is especially important not only to analyze the development of international cooperation regimes, but also to clearly understand the processes taking place in the region and going beyond the traditional narrative of the ‘exceptionality’ of the Arctic today. The main goal of this article is to identify these processes and their implications for international relations in the North Circumpolar. In the process of writing the paper, firstly, research works devoted to the conceptualization of the Arctic as a space of international relations were analyzed and structured in accordance with the theoretical paradigm used in them; secondly, the concept of the ‘new normal’ was adapted to the realities of regional politics; thirdly, the main trends in the development of international relations in the Arctic after 2022 were identified.</p>
   </trans-abstract>
   <kwd-group xml:lang="ru">
    <kwd>Арктическая исключительность</kwd>
    <kwd>Арктический регион</kwd>
    <kwd>Арктический совет</kwd>
    <kwd>международное сотрудничество</kwd>
    <kwd>“новая нормальность”</kwd>
   </kwd-group>
   <kwd-group xml:lang="en">
    <kwd>Arctic exceptionalism</kwd>
    <kwd>Arctic region</kwd>
    <kwd>Arctic Council</kwd>
    <kwd>international cooperation</kwd>
    <kwd>‘new normal’</kwd>
   </kwd-group>
   <custom-meta-group>
    <custom-meta>
     <meta-name>UDK</meta-name>
     <meta-value>327:(98)</meta-value>
    </custom-meta>
   </custom-meta-group>
  </article-meta>
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 <back>
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  <fn-group>
   <fn fn-type="conflict">
    <p>The authors declare that there are no conflicts of interest present.</p>
   </fn>
  </fn-group>
 </back>
</article>
